HEAD-TO-HEAD
Head-to-Head Comparison
Career Head-to-Head
All career bouts, including juryo and below (broadcast tallies usually count makuuchi only).
Rating-based Forecast
Expected win rate (latest)
53.3%
丸勝 (R=1231)
vs
46.7%
出沼 (R=1207)
Glicko-2 expected score (opponent RD taken into account)
Forecast accuracy (1 bouts)
| Predicted win rate (丸勝) | 46.0% |
| Actual win rate | 0.0% |
| Delta | -46.0pt |
Positive = 丸勝 wins above rating expectation; negative = below.
Career Comparison
| Item | 丸勝 | 出沼 |
|---|---|---|
| Peak rating | 1399 (2019-07) | 1271 (2024-11) |
| Career bouts | 287 | 294 |
| Wins | 150 | 153 |
| Losses | 121 | 136 |
| Win rate | 55.1% | 53.1% |
| Current rank | Sandanme #2 | Makushita #59 |
| Active period | 2019-07 〜 2026-09 | 2019-05 〜 2026-09 |
Rating history (overlay)
Bout details (1)
| Basho | Day | Predicted | 丸勝 | vs | 出沼 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-05 | 13 | 46% | ● | vs | ○ |
Predicted = expected score at the start of that tournament (causal). Highlighted rows = upsets vs prediction.