HEAD-TO-HEAD
Head-to-Head Comparison
Career Head-to-Head
All career bouts, including juryo and below (broadcast tallies usually count makuuchi only).
Rating-based Forecast
Expected win rate (latest)
54.1%
磐受 (R=760)
vs
45.9%
大翔 (R=731)
Glicko-2 expected score (opponent RD taken into account)
Forecast accuracy (5 bouts)
| Predicted win rate (磐受) | 48.2% |
| Actual win rate | 80.0% |
| Delta | 31.8pt |
Positive = 磐受 wins above rating expectation; negative = below.
Career Comparison
| Item | 磐受 | 大翔 |
|---|---|---|
| Peak rating | 1144 (2002-05) | 1262 (2016-03) |
| Career bouts | 1,005 | 421 |
| Wins | 472 | 199 |
| Losses | 526 | 213 |
| Win rate | 47.5% | 48.2% |
| Current rank | Jonidan #55 | Jonidan #50 |
| Active period | 2002-05 〜 2026-09 | 2016-03 〜 2026-09 |
Rating history (overlay)
Bout details (5)
| Basho | Day | Predicted | 磐受 | vs | 大翔 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2017-01 | 3 | 42% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2020-11 | 3 | 56% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2021-03 | 14 | 53% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2024-07 | 13 | 45% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2025-09 | 9 | 46% | ○ | vs | ● |
Predicted = expected score at the start of that tournament (causal). Highlighted rows = upsets vs prediction.