HEAD-TO-HEAD
Head-to-Head Comparison
Career Head-to-Head
All career bouts, including juryo and below (broadcast tallies usually count makuuchi only).
Rating-based Forecast
Expected win rate (latest)
45.1%
荒雄山 (R=1162)
vs
54.9%
天照馬 (R=1197)
Glicko-2 expected score (opponent RD taken into account)
Forecast accuracy (1 bouts)
| Predicted win rate (荒雄山) | 67.9% |
| Actual win rate | 100.0% |
| Delta | 32.1pt |
Positive = 荒雄山 wins above rating expectation; negative = below.
Career Comparison
| Item | 荒雄山 | 天照馬 |
|---|---|---|
| Peak rating | 1311 (2019-07) | 1231 (2024-11) |
| Career bouts | 287 | 339 |
| Wins | 142 | 168 |
| Losses | 144 | 141 |
| Win rate | 49.8% | 54.3% |
| Current rank | Sandanme #32 | Sandanme #3 |
| Active period | 2019-07 〜 2026-09 | 2018-03 〜 2026-09 |
Rating history (overlay)
Bout details (1)
| Basho | Day | Predicted | 荒雄山 | vs | 天照馬 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2020-07 | 2 | 68% | ○ | vs | ● |
Predicted = expected score at the start of that tournament (causal). Highlighted rows = upsets vs prediction.