HEAD-TO-HEAD
Head-to-Head Comparison
Career Head-to-Head
All career bouts, including juryo and below (broadcast tallies usually count makuuchi only).
Rating-based Forecast
Expected win rate (latest)
52.6%
荒雄山 (R=1162)
vs
47.4%
鳰の湖 (R=1144)
Glicko-2 expected score (opponent RD taken into account)
Forecast accuracy (2 bouts)
| Predicted win rate (荒雄山) | 40.1% |
| Actual win rate | 50.0% |
| Delta | 9.9pt |
Positive = 荒雄山 wins above rating expectation; negative = below.
Career Comparison
| Item | 荒雄山 | 鳰の湖 |
|---|---|---|
| Peak rating | 1311 (2019-07) | 1484 (2011-11) |
| Career bouts | 287 | 1,098 |
| Wins | 142 | 554 |
| Losses | 144 | 534 |
| Win rate | 49.8% | 51.1% |
| Current rank | Sandanme #4 | Makushita #58 |
| Active period | 2019-07 〜 2026-09 | 2002-05 〜 2026-09 |
Rating history (overlay)
Bout details (2)
| Basho | Day | Predicted | 荒雄山 | vs | 鳰の湖 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023-09 | 4 | 35% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2025-11 | 6 | 45% | ○ | vs | ● |
Predicted = expected score at the start of that tournament (causal). Highlighted rows = upsets vs prediction.