HEAD-TO-HEAD
Head-to-Head Comparison
Career Head-to-Head
All career bouts, including juryo and below (broadcast tallies usually count makuuchi only).
Rating-based Forecast
Expected win rate (latest)
46.5%
北天海 (R=1405)
vs
53.5%
漣 (R=1429)
Glicko-2 expected score (opponent RD taken into account)
Forecast accuracy (2 bouts)
| Predicted win rate (北天海) | 57.0% |
| Actual win rate | 0.0% |
| Delta | -57.0pt |
Positive = 北天海 wins above rating expectation; negative = below.
Career Comparison
| Item | 北天海 | 漣 |
|---|---|---|
| Peak rating | 1425 (2023-11) | 1430 (2026-05) |
| Career bouts | 280 | 464 |
| Wins | 147 | 243 |
| Losses | 110 | 220 |
| Win rate | 57.3% | 52.4% |
| Current rank | Makushita #10 | Makushita #13 |
| Active period | 2019-09 〜 2026-09 | 2015-03 〜 2026-09 |
Rating history (overlay)
Bout details (2)
| Basho | Day | Predicted | 北天海 | vs | 漣 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-07 | 3 | 64% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2026-05 | 10 | 50% | ● | vs | ○ |
Predicted = expected score at the start of that tournament (causal). Highlighted rows = upsets vs prediction.