HEAD-TO-HEAD
Head-to-Head Comparison
Career Head-to-Head
All career bouts, including juryo and below (broadcast tallies usually count makuuchi only).
Rating-based Forecast
Expected win rate (latest)
54.3%
北天海 (R=1200)
vs
45.7%
阿蘇ノ山 (R=1170)
Glicko-2 expected score (opponent RD taken into account)
Forecast accuracy (5 bouts)
| Predicted win rate (北天海) | 60.2% |
| Actual win rate | 100.0% |
| Delta | 39.8pt |
Positive = 北天海 wins above rating expectation; negative = below.
Career Comparison
| Item | 北天海 | 阿蘇ノ山 |
|---|---|---|
| Peak rating | 1319 (2019-11) | 1348 (2018-03) |
| Career bouts | 280 | 346 |
| Wins | 147 | 184 |
| Losses | 110 | 143 |
| Win rate | 57.3% | 56.1% |
| Current rank | Makushita #13 | Makushita #15 |
| Active period | 2019-09 〜 2026-05 | 2018-01 〜 2026-05 |
Rating history (overlay)
Bout details (5)
| Basho | Day | Predicted | 北天海 | vs | 阿蘇ノ山 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022-05 | 12 | 68% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2022-07 | 7 | 67% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2025-11 | 13 | 56% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2026-01 | 10 | 55% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2026-03 | 5 | 55% | ○ | vs | ● |
Predicted = expected score at the start of that tournament (causal). Highlighted rows = upsets vs prediction.