HEAD-TO-HEAD
Head-to-Head Comparison
Career Head-to-Head
All career bouts, including juryo and below (broadcast tallies usually count makuuchi only).
Rating-based Forecast
Expected win rate (latest)
50.7%
北天海 (R=1405)
vs
49.3%
大雄翔 (R=1400)
Glicko-2 expected score (opponent RD taken into account)
Forecast accuracy (2 bouts)
| Predicted win rate (北天海) | 55.0% |
| Actual win rate | 50.0% |
| Delta | -5.0pt |
Positive = 北天海 wins above rating expectation; negative = below.
Career Comparison
| Item | 北天海 | 大雄翔 |
|---|---|---|
| Peak rating | 1425 (2023-11) | 1425 (2026-07) |
| Career bouts | 280 | 338 |
| Wins | 147 | 172 |
| Losses | 110 | 114 |
| Win rate | 57.3% | 59.9% |
| Current rank | Makushita #13 | Makushita #18 |
| Active period | 2019-09 〜 2026-09 | 2018-03 〜 2026-09 |
Rating history (overlay)
Bout details (2)
| Basho | Day | Predicted | 北天海 | vs | 大雄翔 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-05 | 9 | 61% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2025-11 | 9 | 49% | ● | vs | ○ |
Predicted = expected score at the start of that tournament (causal). Highlighted rows = upsets vs prediction.