HEAD-TO-HEAD
Head-to-Head Comparison
Career Head-to-Head
All career bouts, including juryo and below (broadcast tallies usually count makuuchi only).
Rating-based Forecast
Expected win rate (latest)
51.3%
北天海 (R=1405)
vs
48.7%
延原 (R=1395)
Glicko-2 expected score (opponent RD taken into account)
Forecast accuracy (3 bouts)
| Predicted win rate (北天海) | 57.1% |
| Actual win rate | 66.7% |
| Delta | 9.5pt |
Positive = 北天海 wins above rating expectation; negative = below.
Career Comparison
| Item | 北天海 | 延原 |
|---|---|---|
| Peak rating | 1425 (2023-11) | 1399 (2026-07) |
| Career bouts | 280 | 210 |
| Wins | 147 | 116 |
| Losses | 110 | 85 |
| Win rate | 57.3% | 57.6% |
| Current rank | Makushita #10 | Makushita #12 |
| Active period | 2019-09 〜 2026-09 | 2021-07 〜 2026-09 |
Rating history (overlay)
Bout details (3)
| Basho | Day | Predicted | 北天海 | vs | 延原 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022-05 | 15 | 63% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2026-03 | 14 | 53% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2026-05 | 6 | 55% | ○ | vs | ● |
Predicted = expected score at the start of that tournament (causal). Highlighted rows = upsets vs prediction.