HEAD-TO-HEAD
Head-to-Head Comparison
Career Head-to-Head
All career bouts, including juryo and below (broadcast tallies usually count makuuchi only).
Rating-based Forecast
Expected win rate (latest)
38.5%
千代剣 (R=715)
vs
61.5%
黎大丸 (R=798)
Glicko-2 expected score (opponent RD taken into account)
Forecast accuracy (1 bouts)
| Predicted win rate (千代剣) | 31.1% |
| Actual win rate | 100.0% |
| Delta | 68.9pt |
Positive = 千代剣 wins above rating expectation; negative = below.
Career Comparison
| Item | 千代剣 | 黎大丸 |
|---|---|---|
| Peak rating | 771 (2025-09) | 1139 (2016-05) |
| Career bouts | 252 | 366 |
| Wins | 102 | 153 |
| Losses | 115 | 157 |
| Win rate | 47.0% | 48.9% |
| Current rank | Jonidan #34 | Jonidan #26 |
| Active period | 2019-09 〜 2026-09 | 2016-03 〜 2026-09 |
Rating history (overlay)
Bout details (1)
| Basho | Day | Predicted | 千代剣 | vs | 黎大丸 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-01 | 14 | 31% | ○ | vs | ● |
Predicted = expected score at the start of that tournament (causal). Highlighted rows = upsets vs prediction.