HEAD-TO-HEAD
Head-to-Head Comparison
Career Head-to-Head
All career bouts, including juryo and below (broadcast tallies usually count makuuchi only).
Rating-based Forecast
Expected win rate (latest)
60.5%
出羽ノ龍 (R=1627)
vs
39.5%
千代翔馬 (R=1551)
Glicko-2 expected score (opponent RD taken into account)
Forecast accuracy (1 bouts)
| Predicted win rate (出羽ノ龍) | 52.6% |
| Actual win rate | 100.0% |
| Delta | 47.4pt |
Positive = 出羽ノ龍 wins above rating expectation; negative = below.
Career Comparison
| Item | 出羽ノ龍 | 千代翔馬 |
|---|---|---|
| Peak rating | 1627 (2026-09) | 1714 (2025-01) |
| Career bouts | 320 | 1,222 |
| Wins | 189 | 601 |
| Losses | 120 | 599 |
| Win rate | 61.0% | 50.1% |
| Current rank | Juryo #1 | Maegashira #14 |
| Active period | 2020-01 〜 2026-09 | 2009-07 〜 2026-09 |
Rating history (overlay)
Bout details (1)
| Basho | Day | Predicted | 出羽ノ龍 | vs | 千代翔馬 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09 | 11 | 53% | ○ | vs | ● |
Predicted = expected score at the start of that tournament (causal). Highlighted rows = upsets vs prediction.