HEAD-TO-HEAD
Head-to-Head Comparison
Career Head-to-Head
All career bouts, including juryo and below (broadcast tallies usually count makuuchi only).
Rating-based Forecast
Expected win rate (latest)
55.2%
出羽ノ龍 (R=1627)
vs
44.8%
大青山 (R=1590)
Glicko-2 expected score (opponent RD taken into account)
Forecast accuracy (4 bouts)
| Predicted win rate (出羽ノ龍) | 51.7% |
| Actual win rate | 75.0% |
| Delta | 23.3pt |
Positive = 出羽ノ龍 wins above rating expectation; negative = below.
Career Comparison
| Item | 出羽ノ龍 | 大青山 |
|---|---|---|
| Peak rating | 1627 (2026-09) | 1600 (2026-05) |
| Career bouts | 320 | 300 |
| Wins | 189 | 167 |
| Losses | 120 | 117 |
| Win rate | 61.0% | 59.1% |
| Current rank | Juryo #1 | Juryo #2 |
| Active period | 2020-01 〜 2026-09 | 2022-03 〜 2026-09 |
Rating history (overlay)
Bout details (4)
| Basho | Day | Predicted | 出羽ノ龍 | vs | 大青山 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-01 | 1 | 54% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2026-03 | 13 | 47% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2026-05 | 6 | 54% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2026-09 | 2 | 51% | ● | vs | ○ |
Predicted = expected score at the start of that tournament (causal). Highlighted rows = upsets vs prediction.



