HEAD-TO-HEAD
Head-to-Head Comparison
Career Head-to-Head
All career bouts, including juryo and below (broadcast tallies usually count makuuchi only).
Rating-based Forecast
Expected win rate (latest)
43.4%
出羽ノ龍 (R=1348)
vs
56.6%
旭海雄 (R=1394)
Glicko-2 expected score (opponent RD taken into account)
Forecast accuracy (7 bouts)
| Predicted win rate (出羽ノ龍) | 40.1% |
| Actual win rate | 71.4% |
| Delta | 31.3pt |
Positive = 出羽ノ龍 wins above rating expectation; negative = below.
Career Comparison
| Item | 出羽ノ龍 | 旭海雄 |
|---|---|---|
| Peak rating | 1348 (2026-07) | 1418 (2024-09) |
| Career bouts | 302 | 149 |
| Wins | 177 | 96 |
| Losses | 113 | 52 |
| Win rate | 60.8% | 64.9% |
| Current rank | Juryo #3 | Juryo #1 |
| Active period | 2020-01 〜 2026-07 | 2024-01 〜 2026-07 |
Rating history (overlay)
Bout details (7)
| Basho | Day | Predicted | 出羽ノ龍 | vs | 旭海雄 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-03 | 10 | 37% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2025-07 | 7 | 36% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2025-11 | 7 | 41% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2026-01 | 9 | 41% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2026-03 | 9 | 40% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2026-05 | 2 | 44% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2026-07 | 7 | 42% | ○ | vs | ● |
Predicted = expected score at the start of that tournament (causal). Highlighted rows = upsets vs prediction.