HEAD-TO-HEAD
Head-to-Head Comparison
Career Head-to-Head
All career bouts, including juryo and below (broadcast tallies usually count makuuchi only).
Rating-based Forecast
Expected win rate (latest)
50.7%
夢道鵬 (R=1474)
vs
49.3%
大喜翔 (R=1469)
Glicko-2 expected score (opponent RD taken into account)
Forecast accuracy (2 bouts)
| Predicted win rate (夢道鵬) | 51.6% |
| Actual win rate | 100.0% |
| Delta | 48.4pt |
Positive = 夢道鵬 wins above rating expectation; negative = below.
Career Comparison
| Item | 夢道鵬 | 大喜翔 |
|---|---|---|
| Peak rating | 1475 (2026-05) | 1475 (2026-07) |
| Career bouts | 274 | 301 |
| Wins | 143 | 158 |
| Losses | 121 | 111 |
| Win rate | 54.6% | 58.7% |
| Current rank | Makushita #4 | Makushita #6 |
| Active period | 2020-01 〜 2026-09 | 2019-03 〜 2026-09 |
Rating history (overlay)
Bout details (2)
| Basho | Day | Predicted | 夢道鵬 | vs | 大喜翔 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022-01 | 11 | 57% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2026-05 | 5 | 46% | ○ | vs | ● |
Predicted = expected score at the start of that tournament (causal). Highlighted rows = upsets vs prediction.