HEAD-TO-HEAD
Head-to-Head Comparison
Career Head-to-Head
All career bouts, including juryo and below (broadcast tallies usually count makuuchi only).
Rating-based Forecast
Expected win rate (latest)
48.2%
夢道鵬 (R=1474)
vs
51.8%
大辻 (R=1487)
Glicko-2 expected score (opponent RD taken into account)
Forecast accuracy (3 bouts)
| Predicted win rate (夢道鵬) | 43.7% |
| Actual win rate | 33.3% |
| Delta | -10.4pt |
Positive = 夢道鵬 wins above rating expectation; negative = below.
Career Comparison
| Item | 夢道鵬 | 大辻 |
|---|---|---|
| Peak rating | 1475 (2026-05) | 1549 (2025-05) |
| Career bouts | 274 | 310 |
| Wins | 143 | 164 |
| Losses | 121 | 129 |
| Win rate | 54.6% | 55.9% |
| Current rank | Makushita #4 | Makushita #9 |
| Active period | 2020-01 〜 2026-09 | 2019-05 〜 2026-09 |
Rating history (overlay)
Bout details (3)
| Basho | Day | Predicted | 夢道鵬 | vs | 大辻 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023-03 | 1 | 41% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2024-03 | 5 | 45% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2025-09 | 9 | 45% | ● | vs | ○ |
Predicted = expected score at the start of that tournament (causal). Highlighted rows = upsets vs prediction.