HEAD-TO-HEAD
Head-to-Head Comparison
Career Head-to-Head
All career bouts, including juryo and below (broadcast tallies usually count makuuchi only).
Rating-based Forecast
Expected win rate (latest)
51.3%
夢道鵬 (R=1474)
vs
48.7%
大花竜 (R=1465)
Glicko-2 expected score (opponent RD taken into account)
Forecast accuracy (1 bouts)
| Predicted win rate (夢道鵬) | 46.0% |
| Actual win rate | 0.0% |
| Delta | -46.0pt |
Positive = 夢道鵬 wins above rating expectation; negative = below.
Career Comparison
| Item | 夢道鵬 | 大花竜 |
|---|---|---|
| Peak rating | 1475 (2026-05) | 1560 (2026-03) |
| Career bouts | 274 | 99 |
| Wins | 143 | 59 |
| Losses | 121 | 39 |
| Win rate | 54.6% | 60.6% |
| Current rank | Makushita #6 | Makushita #5 |
| Active period | 2020-01 〜 2026-09 | 2024-05 〜 2026-09 |
Rating history (overlay)
Bout details (1)
| Basho | Day | Predicted | 夢道鵬 | vs | 大花竜 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11 | 4 | 46% | ● | vs | ○ |
Predicted = expected score at the start of that tournament (causal). Highlighted rows = upsets vs prediction.