HEAD-TO-HEAD
Head-to-Head Comparison
Career Head-to-Head
All career bouts, including juryo and below (broadcast tallies usually count makuuchi only).
Rating-based Forecast
Expected win rate (latest)
45.1%
麒麟龍 (R=1246)
vs
54.9%
出羽大海 (R=1281)
Glicko-2 expected score (opponent RD taken into account)
Forecast accuracy (2 bouts)
| Predicted win rate (麒麟龍) | 43.0% |
| Actual win rate | 50.0% |
| Delta | 7.0pt |
Positive = 麒麟龍 wins above rating expectation; negative = below.
Career Comparison
| Item | 麒麟龍 | 出羽大海 |
|---|---|---|
| Peak rating | 1304 (2026-03) | 1341 (2026-03) |
| Career bouts | 259 | 572 |
| Wins | 137 | 272 |
| Losses | 122 | 230 |
| Win rate | 52.9% | 54.0% |
| Current rank | Makushita #49 | Makushita #34 |
| Active period | 2020-03 〜 2026-09 | 2012-03 〜 2026-09 |
Rating history (overlay)
Bout details (2)
| Basho | Day | Predicted | 麒麟龍 | vs | 出羽大海 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-05 | 13 | 41% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2026-05 | 4 | 45% | ○ | vs | ● |
Predicted = expected score at the start of that tournament (causal). Highlighted rows = upsets vs prediction.