HEAD-TO-HEAD
Head-to-Head Comparison
Career Head-to-Head
All career bouts, including juryo and below (broadcast tallies usually count makuuchi only).
Rating-based Forecast
Expected win rate (latest)
67.5%
生田目 (R=1585)
vs
32.5%
栃大海 (R=1455)
Glicko-2 expected score (opponent RD taken into account)
Forecast accuracy (4 bouts)
| Predicted win rate (生田目) | 48.3% |
| Actual win rate | 75.0% |
| Delta | 26.7pt |
Positive = 生田目 wins above rating expectation; negative = below.
Career Comparison
| Item | 生田目 | 栃大海 |
|---|---|---|
| Peak rating | 1587 (2026-07) | 1564 (2025-03) |
| Career bouts | 329 | 473 |
| Wins | 172 | 246 |
| Losses | 114 | 221 |
| Win rate | 59.7% | 52.6% |
| Current rank | Juryo #10 | Juryo #14 |
| Active period | 2020-03 〜 2026-09 | 2017-11 〜 2026-09 |
Rating history (overlay)
Bout details (4)
| Basho | Day | Predicted | 生田目 | vs | 栃大海 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-03 | 7 | 43% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2024-07 | 9 | 47% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2025-01 | 12 | 40% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2026-09 | 12 | 63% | ○ | vs | ● |
Predicted = expected score at the start of that tournament (causal). Highlighted rows = upsets vs prediction.