HEAD-TO-HEAD
Head-to-Head Comparison
Career Head-to-Head
All career bouts, including juryo and below (broadcast tallies usually count makuuchi only).
Rating-based Forecast
Expected win rate (latest)
54.8%
天道山 (R=1316)
vs
45.2%
出羽大海 (R=1281)
Glicko-2 expected score (opponent RD taken into account)
Forecast accuracy (3 bouts)
| Predicted win rate (天道山) | 55.9% |
| Actual win rate | 100.0% |
| Delta | 44.1pt |
Positive = 天道山 wins above rating expectation; negative = below.
Career Comparison
| Item | 天道山 | 出羽大海 |
|---|---|---|
| Peak rating | 1468 (2020-03) | 1341 (2026-03) |
| Career bouts | 276 | 590 |
| Wins | 145 | 280 |
| Losses | 115 | 240 |
| Win rate | 56.1% | 53.6% |
| Current rank | Makushita #53 | Makushita #52 |
| Active period | 2020-03 〜 2026-09 | 2012-03 〜 2026-09 |
Rating history (overlay)
Bout details (3)
| Basho | Day | Predicted | 天道山 | vs | 出羽大海 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023-03 | 4 | 58% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2025-03 | 4 | 55% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2026-11 | 1 | 55% | ○ | vs | ● |
Predicted = expected score at the start of that tournament (causal). Highlighted rows = upsets vs prediction.