HEAD-TO-HEAD
Head-to-Head Comparison
Career Head-to-Head
All career bouts, including juryo and below (broadcast tallies usually count makuuchi only).
Rating-based Forecast
Expected win rate (latest)
52.3%
朝ノ龍 (R=1188)
vs
47.7%
天道山 (R=1171)
Glicko-2 expected score (opponent RD taken into account)
Forecast accuracy (2 bouts)
| Predicted win rate (朝ノ龍) | 54.6% |
| Actual win rate | 100.0% |
| Delta | 45.4pt |
Positive = 朝ノ龍 wins above rating expectation; negative = below.
Career Comparison
| Item | 朝ノ龍 | 天道山 |
|---|---|---|
| Peak rating | 1303 (2020-07) | 1468 (2020-03) |
| Career bouts | 259 | 259 |
| Wins | 136 | 138 |
| Losses | 111 | 105 |
| Win rate | 54.2% | 57.1% |
| Current rank | Makushita #22 | Makushita #17 |
| Active period | 2020-03 〜 2026-05 | 2020-03 〜 2026-05 |
Rating history (overlay)
Bout details (2)
| Basho | Day | Predicted | 朝ノ龍 | vs | 天道山 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-01 | 4 | 56% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2026-01 | 7 | 53% | ○ | vs | ● |
Predicted = expected score at the start of that tournament (causal). Highlighted rows = upsets vs prediction.