HEAD-TO-HEAD
Head-to-Head Comparison
Career Head-to-Head
All career bouts, including juryo and below (broadcast tallies usually count makuuchi only).
Rating-based Forecast
Expected win rate (latest)
47.0%
千代大聖 (R=905)
vs
53.0%
魁佑馬 (R=926)
Glicko-2 expected score (opponent RD taken into account)
Forecast accuracy (2 bouts)
| Predicted win rate (千代大聖) | 46.4% |
| Actual win rate | 100.0% |
| Delta | 53.6pt |
Positive = 千代大聖 wins above rating expectation; negative = below.
Career Comparison
| Item | 千代大聖 | 魁佑馬 |
|---|---|---|
| Peak rating | 1256 (2020-07) | 1172 (2016-05) |
| Career bouts | 270 | 436 |
| Wins | 134 | 214 |
| Losses | 129 | 220 |
| Win rate | 51.0% | 49.4% |
| Current rank | Jonidan #49 | Jonidan #48 |
| Active period | 2020-07 〜 2026-09 | 2016-05 〜 2026-09 |
Rating history (overlay)
Bout details (2)
| Basho | Day | Predicted | 千代大聖 | vs | 魁佑馬 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022-03 | 11 | 46% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2026-11 | 7 | 47% | ○ | vs | ● |
Predicted = expected score at the start of that tournament (causal). Highlighted rows = upsets vs prediction.