HEAD-TO-HEAD
Head-to-Head Comparison
Career Head-to-Head
All career bouts, including juryo and below (broadcast tallies usually count makuuchi only).
Rating-based Forecast
Expected win rate (latest)
38.0%
肥州山 (R=644)
vs
62.0%
出羽乃若 (R=731)
Glicko-2 expected score (opponent RD taken into account)
Forecast accuracy (4 bouts)
| Predicted win rate (肥州山) | 42.5% |
| Actual win rate | 25.0% |
| Delta | -17.5pt |
Positive = 肥州山 wins above rating expectation; negative = below.
Career Comparison
| Item | 肥州山 | 出羽乃若 |
|---|---|---|
| Peak rating | 1144 (2020-07) | 1256 (2022-05) |
| Career bouts | 252 | 176 |
| Wins | 100 | 63 |
| Losses | 137 | 84 |
| Win rate | 42.7% | 43.0% |
| Current rank | Jonidan #86 | Jonidan #83 |
| Active period | 2020-07 〜 2026-09 | 2022-05 〜 2026-09 |
Rating history (overlay)
Bout details (4)
| Basho | Day | Predicted | 肥州山 | vs | 出羽乃若 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022-11 | 4 | 31% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2023-01 | 5 | 38% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2023-11 | 8 | 53% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2024-09 | 12 | 48% | ● | vs | ○ |
Predicted = expected score at the start of that tournament (causal). Highlighted rows = upsets vs prediction.