HEAD-TO-HEAD
Head-to-Head Comparison
Career Head-to-Head
All career bouts, including juryo and below (broadcast tallies usually count makuuchi only).
Rating-based Forecast
Expected win rate (latest)
76.0%
肥州山 (R=644)
vs
24.0%
荒飛 (R=439)
Glicko-2 expected score (opponent RD taken into account)
Forecast accuracy (2 bouts)
| Predicted win rate (肥州山) | 81.2% |
| Actual win rate | 100.0% |
| Delta | 18.8pt |
Positive = 肥州山 wins above rating expectation; negative = below.
Career Comparison
| Item | 肥州山 | 荒飛 |
|---|---|---|
| Peak rating | 1144 (2020-07) | 819 (2022-05) |
| Career bouts | 269 | 194 |
| Wins | 107 | 59 |
| Losses | 147 | 132 |
| Win rate | 42.6% | 30.4% |
| Current rank | Jonidan #94 | Jonidan #93 |
| Active period | 2020-07 〜 2026-09 | 2022-05 〜 2026-09 |
Rating history (overlay)
Bout details (2)
| Basho | Day | Predicted | 肥州山 | vs | 荒飛 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-03 | 15 | 86% | □ | vs | ■ |
| 2026-11 | 4 | 76% | ○ | vs | ● |
Predicted = expected score at the start of that tournament (causal). Highlighted rows = upsets vs prediction.