HEAD-TO-HEAD
Head-to-Head Comparison
Career Head-to-Head
All career bouts, including juryo and below (broadcast tallies usually count makuuchi only).
Rating-based Forecast
Expected win rate (latest)
44.0%
肥州山 (R=644)
vs
56.0%
美勝丸 (R=686)
Glicko-2 expected score (opponent RD taken into account)
Forecast accuracy (2 bouts)
| Predicted win rate (肥州山) | 49.7% |
| Actual win rate | 0.0% |
| Delta | -49.7pt |
Positive = 肥州山 wins above rating expectation; negative = below.
Career Comparison
| Item | 肥州山 | 美勝丸 |
|---|---|---|
| Peak rating | 1144 (2020-07) | 879 (2023-07) |
| Career bouts | 252 | 141 |
| Wins | 100 | 61 |
| Losses | 137 | 78 |
| Win rate | 42.7% | 44.3% |
| Current rank | Jonidan #94 | Jonidan #90 |
| Active period | 2020-07 〜 2026-09 | 2023-05 〜 2026-09 |
Rating history (overlay)
Bout details (2)
| Basho | Day | Predicted | 肥州山 | vs | 美勝丸 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-07 | 11 | 49% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2026-07 | 5 | 51% | ● | vs | ○ |
Predicted = expected score at the start of that tournament (causal). Highlighted rows = upsets vs prediction.