HEAD-TO-HEAD

Head-to-Head Comparison

Left

肥州山

Jonidan #86Sakaigawa Stable

Change

Right

東颯海

Jonidan #86Tamanoi Stable

Change
肥州山
Jonidan #86
58%
win prob (latest)
VS
東颯海
Jonidan #86
42%
win prob (latest)

Career Head-to-Head

All career bouts, including juryo and below (broadcast tallies usually count makuuchi only).

1
1 bouts
0

Rating-based Forecast

Expected win rate (latest)

57.8%
肥州山 (R=702)
vs
42.2%
東颯海 (R=646)

Glicko-2 expected score (opponent RD taken into account)

Forecast accuracy (1 bouts)

Predicted win rate (肥州山)27.3%
Actual win rate100.0%
Delta72.7pt

Positive = 肥州山 wins above rating expectation; negative = below.

Career Comparison

Item肥州山東颯海
Peak rating1144 (2020-07)943 (2025-07)
Career bouts25242
Wins10017
Losses13724
Win rate42.7%42.9%
Current rankJonidan #86Jonidan #86
Active period2020-07 〜 2026-052025-07 〜 2026-05

Rating history (overlay)

Bout details (1)

BashoDayPredicted肥州山vs東颯海
2025-11227%vs

Predicted = expected score at the start of that tournament (causal). Highlighted rows = upsets vs prediction.