HEAD-TO-HEAD
Head-to-Head Comparison
Career Head-to-Head
All career bouts, including juryo and below (broadcast tallies usually count makuuchi only).
Rating-based Forecast
Expected win rate (latest)
25.1%
松木 (R=969)
vs
74.9%
大飛翔 (R=1162)
Glicko-2 expected score (opponent RD taken into account)
Forecast accuracy (1 bouts)
| Predicted win rate (松木) | 25.1% |
| Actual win rate | 100.0% |
| Delta | 74.9pt |
Positive = 松木 wins above rating expectation; negative = below.
Career Comparison
| Item | 松木 | 大飛翔 |
|---|---|---|
| Peak rating | 969 (2026-09) | 1369 (2019-05) |
| Career bouts | 270 | 311 |
| Wins | 122 | 157 |
| Losses | 132 | 151 |
| Win rate | 47.8% | 51.1% |
| Current rank | Sandanme #48 | Sandanme #47 |
| Active period | 2020-07 〜 2026-09 | 2019-05 〜 2026-09 |
Rating history (overlay)
Bout details (1)
| Basho | Day | Predicted | 松木 | vs | 大飛翔 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11 | 4 | 25% | ○ | vs | ● |
Predicted = expected score at the start of that tournament (causal). Highlighted rows = upsets vs prediction.