HEAD-TO-HEAD
Head-to-Head Comparison
Career Head-to-Head
All career bouts, including juryo and below (broadcast tallies usually count makuuchi only).
Rating-based Forecast
Expected win rate (latest)
76.4%
松木 (R=969)
vs
23.6%
磐受 (R=760)
Glicko-2 expected score (opponent RD taken into account)
Forecast accuracy (5 bouts)
| Predicted win rate (松木) | 54.0% |
| Actual win rate | 80.0% |
| Delta | 26.0pt |
Positive = 松木 wins above rating expectation; negative = below.
Career Comparison
| Item | 松木 | 磐受 |
|---|---|---|
| Peak rating | 969 (2026-09) | 1144 (2002-05) |
| Career bouts | 259 | 1,005 |
| Wins | 115 | 472 |
| Losses | 128 | 526 |
| Win rate | 47.1% | 47.5% |
| Current rank | Sandanme #48 | Jonidan #83 |
| Active period | 2020-07 〜 2026-09 | 2002-05 〜 2026-09 |
Rating history (overlay)
Bout details (5)
| Basho | Day | Predicted | 松木 | vs | 磐受 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022-11 | 5 | 32% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2023-01 | 5 | 37% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2024-09 | 3 | 63% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2026-03 | 4 | 70% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2026-07 | 3 | 68% | ○ | vs | ● |
Predicted = expected score at the start of that tournament (causal). Highlighted rows = upsets vs prediction.