HEAD-TO-HEAD
Head-to-Head Comparison
Career Head-to-Head
All career bouts, including juryo and below (broadcast tallies usually count makuuchi only).
Rating-based Forecast
Expected win rate (latest)
54.9%
松木 (R=801)
vs
45.1%
御室岳 (R=766)
Glicko-2 expected score (opponent RD taken into account)
Forecast accuracy (4 bouts)
| Predicted win rate (松木) | 41.2% |
| Actual win rate | 75.0% |
| Delta | 33.8pt |
Positive = 松木 wins above rating expectation; negative = below.
Career Comparison
| Item | 松木 | 御室岳 |
|---|---|---|
| Peak rating | 801 (2026-05) | 1144 (2002-05) |
| Career bouts | 252 | 997 |
| Wins | 111 | 469 |
| Losses | 125 | 522 |
| Win rate | 46.8% | 47.5% |
| Current rank | Jonidan #22 | Jonidan #21 |
| Active period | 2020-07 〜 2026-05 | 2002-05 〜 2026-05 |
Rating history (overlay)
Bout details (4)
| Basho | Day | Predicted | 松木 | vs | 御室岳 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022-11 | 5 | 30% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2023-01 | 5 | 32% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2024-09 | 3 | 48% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2026-03 | 4 | 55% | ○ | vs | ● |
Predicted = expected score at the start of that tournament (causal). Highlighted rows = upsets vs prediction.