HEAD-TO-HEAD
Head-to-Head Comparison
Career Head-to-Head
All career bouts, including juryo and below (broadcast tallies usually count makuuchi only).
Rating-based Forecast
Expected win rate (latest)
47.7%
鳰の湖 (R=1144)
vs
52.3%
栃登 (R=1160)
Glicko-2 expected score (opponent RD taken into account)
Forecast accuracy (3 bouts)
| Predicted win rate (鳰の湖) | 51.0% |
| Actual win rate | 66.7% |
| Delta | 15.6pt |
Positive = 鳰の湖 wins above rating expectation; negative = below.
Career Comparison
| Item | 鳰の湖 | 栃登 |
|---|---|---|
| Peak rating | 1484 (2011-11) | 1373 (2009-03) |
| Career bouts | 1,098 | 709 |
| Wins | 554 | 357 |
| Losses | 534 | 343 |
| Win rate | 51.1% | 51.1% |
| Current rank | Makushita #58 | Makushita #57 |
| Active period | 2002-05 〜 2026-09 | 2009-03 〜 2026-09 |
Rating history (overlay)
Bout details (3)
| Basho | Day | Predicted | 鳰の湖 | vs | 栃登 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015-03 | 7 | 56% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2015-11 | 12 | 54% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2024-05 | 4 | 43% | ○ | vs | ● |
Predicted = expected score at the start of that tournament (causal). Highlighted rows = upsets vs prediction.