HEAD-TO-HEAD
Head-to-Head Comparison
Career Head-to-Head
All career bouts, including juryo and below (broadcast tallies usually count makuuchi only).
Rating-based Forecast
Expected win rate (latest)
41.5%
鳰の湖 (R=1144)
vs
58.5%
佐田ノ輝 (R=1204)
Glicko-2 expected score (opponent RD taken into account)
Forecast accuracy (1 bouts)
| Predicted win rate (鳰の湖) | 45.6% |
| Actual win rate | 100.0% |
| Delta | 54.4pt |
Positive = 鳰の湖 wins above rating expectation; negative = below.
Career Comparison
| Item | 鳰の湖 | 佐田ノ輝 |
|---|---|---|
| Peak rating | 1484 (2011-11) | 1286 (2025-09) |
| Career bouts | 1,098 | 501 |
| Wins | 554 | 248 |
| Losses | 534 | 226 |
| Win rate | 51.1% | 52.3% |
| Current rank | Sandanme #23 | Sandanme #25 |
| Active period | 2002-05 〜 2026-09 | 2014-05 〜 2026-09 |
Rating history (overlay)
Bout details (1)
| Basho | Day | Predicted | 鳰の湖 | vs | 佐田ノ輝 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-11 | 15 | 46% | ○ | vs | ● |
Predicted = expected score at the start of that tournament (causal). Highlighted rows = upsets vs prediction.