HEAD-TO-HEAD
Head-to-Head Comparison
Career Head-to-Head
All career bouts, including juryo and below (broadcast tallies usually count makuuchi only).
Rating-based Forecast
Expected win rate (latest)
43.1%
鳰の湖 (R=1144)
vs
56.9%
清乃海 (R=1193)
Glicko-2 expected score (opponent RD taken into account)
Forecast accuracy (3 bouts)
| Predicted win rate (鳰の湖) | 52.3% |
| Actual win rate | 33.3% |
| Delta | -18.9pt |
Positive = 鳰の湖 wins above rating expectation; negative = below.
Career Comparison
| Item | 鳰の湖 | 清乃海 |
|---|---|---|
| Peak rating | 1484 (2011-11) | 1329 (2015-01) |
| Career bouts | 1,098 | 480 |
| Wins | 554 | 232 |
| Losses | 534 | 221 |
| Win rate | 51.1% | 51.5% |
| Current rank | Sandanme #23 | Sandanme #16 |
| Active period | 2002-05 〜 2026-09 | 2014-11 〜 2026-09 |
Rating history (overlay)
Bout details (3)
| Basho | Day | Predicted | 鳰の湖 | vs | 清乃海 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-09 | 10 | 57% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2026-01 | 11 | 51% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2026-03 | 1 | 49% | ○ | vs | ● |
Predicted = expected score at the start of that tournament (causal). Highlighted rows = upsets vs prediction.