HEAD-TO-HEAD
Head-to-Head Comparison
Career Head-to-Head
All career bouts, including juryo and below (broadcast tallies usually count makuuchi only).
Rating-based Forecast
Expected win rate (latest)
59.3%
鳰の湖 (R=1096)
vs
40.7%
清乃海 (R=1031)
Glicko-2 expected score (opponent RD taken into account)
Forecast accuracy (3 bouts)
| Predicted win rate (鳰の湖) | 62.2% |
| Actual win rate | 33.3% |
| Delta | -28.8pt |
Positive = 鳰の湖 wins above rating expectation; negative = below.
Career Comparison
| Item | 鳰の湖 | 清乃海 |
|---|---|---|
| Peak rating | 1369 (2002-05) | 1305 (2015-01) |
| Career bouts | 1,098 | 480 |
| Wins | 554 | 232 |
| Losses | 534 | 221 |
| Win rate | 51.1% | 51.5% |
| Current rank | Makushita #38 | Makushita #43 |
| Active period | 2002-05 〜 2026-05 | 2014-11 〜 2026-05 |
Rating history (overlay)
Bout details (3)
| Basho | Day | Predicted | 鳰の湖 | vs | 清乃海 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-09 | 10 | 64% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2026-01 | 11 | 62% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2026-03 | 1 | 61% | ○ | vs | ● |
Predicted = expected score at the start of that tournament (causal). Highlighted rows = upsets vs prediction.