HEAD-TO-HEAD
Head-to-Head Comparison
Career Head-to-Head
All career bouts, including juryo and below (broadcast tallies usually count makuuchi only).
Rating-based Forecast
Expected win rate (latest)
45.3%
鳰の湖 (R=1144)
vs
54.7%
旭天道 (R=1177)
Glicko-2 expected score (opponent RD taken into account)
Forecast accuracy (1 bouts)
| Predicted win rate (鳰の湖) | 45.3% |
| Actual win rate | 0.0% |
| Delta | -45.3pt |
Positive = 鳰の湖 wins above rating expectation; negative = below.
Career Comparison
| Item | 鳰の湖 | 旭天道 |
|---|---|---|
| Peak rating | 1484 (2011-11) | 1177 (2026-09) |
| Career bouts | 1,116 | 115 |
| Wins | 560 | 65 |
| Losses | 546 | 43 |
| Win rate | 50.8% | 60.2% |
| Current rank | Sandanme #23 | Sandanme #23 |
| Active period | 2002-05 〜 2026-09 | 2024-03 〜 2026-09 |
Rating history (overlay)
Bout details (1)
| Basho | Day | Predicted | 鳰の湖 | vs | 旭天道 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11 | 2 | 45% | ● | vs | ○ |
Predicted = expected score at the start of that tournament (causal). Highlighted rows = upsets vs prediction.