HEAD-TO-HEAD
Head-to-Head Comparison
Career Head-to-Head
All career bouts, including juryo and below (broadcast tallies usually count makuuchi only).
Rating-based Forecast
Expected win rate (latest)
76.3%
月岡 (R=887)
vs
23.7%
綿谷 (R=680)
Glicko-2 expected score (opponent RD taken into account)
Forecast accuracy (4 bouts)
| Predicted win rate (月岡) | 57.7% |
| Actual win rate | 100.0% |
| Delta | 42.3pt |
Positive = 月岡 wins above rating expectation; negative = below.
Career Comparison
| Item | 月岡 | 綿谷 |
|---|---|---|
| Peak rating | 1256 (2020-07) | 961 (2015-05) |
| Career bouts | 252 | 460 |
| Wins | 117 | 194 |
| Losses | 135 | 240 |
| Win rate | 46.4% | 45.1% |
| Current rank | Sandanme #78 | Jonidan #91 |
| Active period | 2020-07 〜 2026-09 | 2015-05 〜 2026-09 |
Rating history (overlay)
Bout details (4)
| Basho | Day | Predicted | 月岡 | vs | 綿谷 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022-11 | 1 | 48% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2023-01 | 10 | 49% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2024-05 | 1 | 68% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2026-05 | 10 | 66% | ○ | vs | ● |
Predicted = expected score at the start of that tournament (causal). Highlighted rows = upsets vs prediction.