HEAD-TO-HEAD
Head-to-Head Comparison
Career Head-to-Head
All career bouts, including juryo and below (broadcast tallies usually count makuuchi only).
Rating-based Forecast
Expected win rate (latest)
44.1%
千代大和 (R=1015)
vs
55.9%
小滝山 (R=1056)
Glicko-2 expected score (opponent RD taken into account)
Forecast accuracy (1 bouts)
| Predicted win rate (千代大和) | 40.5% |
| Actual win rate | 100.0% |
| Delta | 59.5pt |
Positive = 千代大和 wins above rating expectation; negative = below.
Career Comparison
| Item | 千代大和 | 小滝山 |
|---|---|---|
| Peak rating | 1098 (2025-07) | 1347 (2018-03) |
| Career bouts | 245 | 338 |
| Wins | 119 | 167 |
| Losses | 119 | 161 |
| Win rate | 50.0% | 51.4% |
| Current rank | Sandanme #36 | Sandanme #38 |
| Active period | 2020-09 〜 2026-09 | 2018-03 〜 2026-09 |
Rating history (overlay)
Bout details (1)
| Basho | Day | Predicted | 千代大和 | vs | 小滝山 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-05 | 4 | 40% | ○ | vs | ● |
Predicted = expected score at the start of that tournament (causal). Highlighted rows = upsets vs prediction.