HEAD-TO-HEAD
Head-to-Head Comparison
Career Head-to-Head
All career bouts, including juryo and below (broadcast tallies usually count makuuchi only).
Rating-based Forecast
Expected win rate (latest)
47.2%
熱海富士 (R=1488)
vs
52.8%
大栄翔 (R=1508)
Glicko-2 expected score (opponent RD taken into account)
Forecast accuracy (13 bouts)
| Predicted win rate (熱海富士) | 38.2% |
| Actual win rate | 53.8% |
| Delta | 15.6pt |
Positive = 熱海富士 wins above rating expectation; negative = below.
Career Comparison
| Item | 熱海富士 | 大栄翔 |
|---|---|---|
| Peak rating | 1488 (2026-07) | 1547 (2025-05) |
| Career bouts | 451 | 1,178 |
| Wins | 257 | 628 |
| Losses | 187 | 519 |
| Win rate | 57.8% | 55.2% |
| Current rank | Sekiwake | Maegashira #4 |
| Active period | 2021-01 〜 2026-07 | 2012-01 〜 2026-07 |
Rating history (overlay)
Bout details (13)
| Basho | Day | Predicted | 熱海富士 | vs | 大栄翔 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023-09 | 12 | 30% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2024-01 | 6 | 36% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2024-03 | 8 | 35% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2024-05 | 9 | 38% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2024-07 | 10 | 37% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2024-09 | 9 | 37% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2024-11 | 3 | 38% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2025-01 | 2 | 39% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2025-11 | 9 | 37% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2026-01 | 1 | 37% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2026-03 | 11 | 42% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2026-05 | 9 | 45% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2026-07 | 4 | 46% | ● | vs | ○ |
Predicted = expected score at the start of that tournament (causal). Highlighted rows = upsets vs prediction.