HEAD-TO-HEAD
Head-to-Head Comparison
Career Head-to-Head
All career bouts, including juryo and below (broadcast tallies usually count makuuchi only).
Rating-based Forecast
Expected win rate (latest)
65.2%
熱海富士 (R=1859)
vs
34.8%
大栄翔 (R=1747)
Glicko-2 expected score (opponent RD taken into account)
Forecast accuracy (14 bouts)
| Predicted win rate (熱海富士) | 44.5% |
| Actual win rate | 57.1% |
| Delta | 12.6pt |
Positive = 熱海富士 wins above rating expectation; negative = below.
Career Comparison
| Item | 熱海富士 | 大栄翔 |
|---|---|---|
| Peak rating | 1881 (2026-07) | 1866 (2025-05) |
| Career bouts | 469 | 1,196 |
| Wins | 268 | 637 |
| Losses | 195 | 529 |
| Win rate | 57.8% | 55.0% |
| Current rank | Sekiwake | Komusubi |
| Active period | 2021-01 〜 2026-09 | 2012-01 〜 2026-09 |
Rating history (overlay)
Bout details (14)
| Basho | Day | Predicted | 熱海富士 | vs | 大栄翔 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023-09 | 12 | 24% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2024-01 | 6 | 37% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2024-03 | 8 | 35% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2024-05 | 9 | 46% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2024-07 | 10 | 39% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2024-09 | 9 | 41% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2024-11 | 3 | 42% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2025-01 | 2 | 45% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2025-11 | 9 | 39% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2026-01 | 1 | 41% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2026-03 | 11 | 55% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2026-05 | 9 | 59% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2026-07 | 4 | 59% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2026-09 | 5 | 63% | ○ | vs | ● |
Predicted = expected score at the start of that tournament (causal). Highlighted rows = upsets vs prediction.