HEAD-TO-HEAD
Head-to-Head Comparison
Career Head-to-Head
All career bouts, including juryo and below (broadcast tallies usually count makuuchi only).
Rating-based Forecast
Expected win rate (latest)
64.4%
熱海富士 (R=1859)
vs
35.6%
朝乃山 (R=1753)
Glicko-2 expected score (opponent RD taken into account)
Forecast accuracy (4 bouts)
| Predicted win rate (熱海富士) | 40.1% |
| Actual win rate | 25.0% |
| Delta | -15.1pt |
Positive = 熱海富士 wins above rating expectation; negative = below.
Career Comparison
| Item | 熱海富士 | 朝乃山 |
|---|---|---|
| Peak rating | 1881 (2026-07) | 1903 (2020-07) |
| Career bouts | 469 | 817 |
| Wins | 268 | 435 |
| Losses | 195 | 213 |
| Win rate | 57.8% | 66.7% |
| Current rank | Sekiwake | Maegashira #6 |
| Active period | 2021-01 〜 2026-09 | 2016-03 〜 2026-09 |
Rating history (overlay)
Bout details (4)
| Basho | Day | Predicted | 熱海富士 | vs | 朝乃山 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023-09 | 15 | 20% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2024-01 | 14 | 36% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2024-03 | 6 | 33% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2026-09 | 13 | 71% | ● | vs | ○ |
Predicted = expected score at the start of that tournament (causal). Highlighted rows = upsets vs prediction.