HEAD-TO-HEAD
Head-to-Head Comparison
Career Head-to-Head
All career bouts, including juryo and below (broadcast tallies usually count makuuchi only).
Rating-based Forecast
Expected win rate (latest)
69.1%
熱海富士 (R=1859)
vs
30.9%
平戸海 (R=1716)
Glicko-2 expected score (opponent RD taken into account)
Forecast accuracy (16 bouts)
| Predicted win rate (熱海富士) | 54.9% |
| Actual win rate | 31.3% |
| Delta | -23.7pt |
Positive = 熱海富士 wins above rating expectation; negative = below.
Career Comparison
| Item | 熱海富士 | 平戸海 |
|---|---|---|
| Peak rating | 1881 (2026-07) | 1808 (2024-07) |
| Career bouts | 469 | 677 |
| Wins | 268 | 356 |
| Losses | 195 | 312 |
| Win rate | 57.8% | 53.2% |
| Current rank | Sekiwake | Maegashira #5 |
| Active period | 2021-01 〜 2026-09 | 2016-03 〜 2026-09 |
Rating history (overlay)
Bout details (16)
| Basho | Day | Predicted | 熱海富士 | vs | 平戸海 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022-03 | 2 | 63% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2022-05 | 2 | 58% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2022-07 | 7 | 59% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2022-11 | 1 | 51% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2023-11 | 7 | 63% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2024-03 | 13 | 62% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2024-05 | 8 | 58% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2024-07 | 11 | 50% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2024-09 | 11 | 43% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2024-11 | 12 | 45% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2025-03 | 7 | 52% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2025-09 | 4 | 46% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2026-01 | 6 | 49% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2026-03 | 5 | 59% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2026-05 | 2 | 61% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2026-07 | 2 | 60% | ○ | vs | ● |
Predicted = expected score at the start of that tournament (causal). Highlighted rows = upsets vs prediction.



