HEAD-TO-HEAD
Head-to-Head Comparison
Career Head-to-Head
All career bouts, including juryo and below (broadcast tallies usually count makuuchi only).
Rating-based Forecast
Expected win rate (latest)
60.8%
熱海富士 (R=1488)
vs
39.2%
美ノ海 (R=1411)
Glicko-2 expected score (opponent RD taken into account)
Forecast accuracy (14 bouts)
| Predicted win rate (熱海富士) | 60.0% |
| Actual win rate | 78.6% |
| Delta | 18.6pt |
Positive = 熱海富士 wins above rating expectation; negative = below.
Career Comparison
| Item | 熱海富士 | 美ノ海 |
|---|---|---|
| Peak rating | 1488 (2026-07) | 1577 (2016-09) |
| Career bouts | 451 | 746 |
| Wins | 257 | 378 |
| Losses | 187 | 362 |
| Win rate | 57.8% | 51.2% |
| Current rank | Sekiwake | Maegashira #2 |
| Active period | 2021-01 〜 2026-07 | 2016-03 〜 2026-07 |
Rating history (overlay)
Bout details (14)
| Basho | Day | Predicted | 熱海富士 | vs | 美ノ海 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022-03 | 7 | 71% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2022-05 | 7 | 64% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2022-11 | 3 | 60% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2023-03 | 8 | 57% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2023-05 | 2 | 55% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2023-11 | 11 | 63% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2024-11 | 1 | 59% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2025-01 | 15 | 61% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2025-07 | 15 | 58% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2025-11 | 2 | 57% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2026-01 | 4 | 56% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2026-03 | 10 | 58% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2026-05 | 11 | 61% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2026-07 | 10 | 60% | ○ | vs | ● |
Predicted = expected score at the start of that tournament (causal). Highlighted rows = upsets vs prediction.