HEAD-TO-HEAD
Head-to-Head Comparison
Career Head-to-Head
All career bouts, including juryo and below (broadcast tallies usually count makuuchi only).
Rating-based Forecast
Expected win rate (latest)
66.9%
栃武蔵 (R=1498)
vs
33.1%
志摩ノ海 (R=1373)
Glicko-2 expected score (opponent RD taken into account)
Forecast accuracy (5 bouts)
| Predicted win rate (栃武蔵) | 62.8% |
| Actual win rate | 40.0% |
| Delta | -22.8pt |
Positive = 栃武蔵 wins above rating expectation; negative = below.
Career Comparison
| Item | 栃武蔵 | 志摩ノ海 |
|---|---|---|
| Peak rating | 1600 (2022-09) | 1680 (2019-07) |
| Career bouts | 264 | 944 |
| Wins | 134 | 450 |
| Losses | 102 | 446 |
| Win rate | 56.8% | 50.4% |
| Current rank | Makushita #17 | Makushita #19 |
| Active period | 2021-03 〜 2026-09 | 2012-05 〜 2026-09 |
Rating history (overlay)
Bout details (5)
| Basho | Day | Predicted | 栃武蔵 | vs | 志摩ノ海 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022-11 | 2 | 73% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2023-01 | 2 | 66% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2023-03 | 1 | 60% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2024-01 | 14 | 48% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2025-11 | 12 | 66% | ○ | vs | ● |
Predicted = expected score at the start of that tournament (causal). Highlighted rows = upsets vs prediction.