HEAD-TO-HEAD
Head-to-Head Comparison
Career Head-to-Head
All career bouts, including juryo and below (broadcast tallies usually count makuuchi only).
Rating-based Forecast
Expected win rate (latest)
65.6%
栃武蔵 (R=1498)
vs
34.4%
貴健斗 (R=1384)
Glicko-2 expected score (opponent RD taken into account)
Forecast accuracy (7 bouts)
| Predicted win rate (栃武蔵) | 56.5% |
| Actual win rate | 42.9% |
| Delta | -13.7pt |
Positive = 栃武蔵 wins above rating expectation; negative = below.
Career Comparison
| Item | 栃武蔵 | 貴健斗 |
|---|---|---|
| Peak rating | 1600 (2022-09) | 1546 (2023-03) |
| Career bouts | 264 | 627 |
| Wins | 134 | 320 |
| Losses | 102 | 288 |
| Win rate | 56.8% | 52.8% |
| Current rank | Makushita #17 | Makushita #20 |
| Active period | 2021-03 〜 2026-09 | 2014-01 〜 2026-09 |
Rating history (overlay)
Bout details (7)
| Basho | Day | Predicted | 栃武蔵 | vs | 貴健斗 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022-01 | 9 | 59% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2022-09 | 2 | 61% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2022-11 | 8 | 62% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2023-01 | 13 | 58% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2023-03 | 12 | 48% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2025-07 | 14 | 52% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2026-01 | 9 | 57% | ● | vs | ○ |
Predicted = expected score at the start of that tournament (causal). Highlighted rows = upsets vs prediction.