HEAD-TO-HEAD
Head-to-Head Comparison
Career Head-to-Head
All career bouts, including juryo and below (broadcast tallies usually count makuuchi only).
Rating-based Forecast
Expected win rate (latest)
61.0%
栃武蔵 (R=1498)
vs
39.0%
黒姫山 (R=1418)
Glicko-2 expected score (opponent RD taken into account)
Forecast accuracy (1 bouts)
| Predicted win rate (栃武蔵) | 61.0% |
| Actual win rate | 100.0% |
| Delta | 39.0pt |
Positive = 栃武蔵 wins above rating expectation; negative = below.
Career Comparison
| Item | 栃武蔵 | 黒姫山 |
|---|---|---|
| Peak rating | 1600 (2022-09) | 1447 (2025-11) |
| Career bouts | 281 | 350 |
| Wins | 147 | 191 |
| Losses | 106 | 152 |
| Win rate | 58.1% | 55.5% |
| Current rank | Makushita #20 | Makushita #17 |
| Active period | 2021-03 〜 2026-09 | 2018-05 〜 2026-09 |
Rating history (overlay)
Bout details (1)
| Basho | Day | Predicted | 栃武蔵 | vs | 黒姫山 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11 | 6 | 61% | ○ | vs | ● |
Predicted = expected score at the start of that tournament (causal). Highlighted rows = upsets vs prediction.