HEAD-TO-HEAD
Head-to-Head Comparison
Career Head-to-Head
All career bouts, including juryo and below (broadcast tallies usually count makuuchi only).
Rating-based Forecast
Expected win rate (latest)
51.2%
豪ノ山 (R=1441)
vs
48.8%
平戸海 (R=1432)
Glicko-2 expected score (opponent RD taken into account)
Forecast accuracy (11 bouts)
| Predicted win rate (豪ノ山) | 54.6% |
| Actual win rate | 36.4% |
| Delta | -18.3pt |
Positive = 豪ノ山 wins above rating expectation; negative = below.
Career Comparison
| Item | 豪ノ山 | 平戸海 |
|---|---|---|
| Peak rating | 1454 (2025-03) | 1444 (2026-05) |
| Career bouts | 431 | 662 |
| Wins | 229 | 347 |
| Losses | 192 | 306 |
| Win rate | 55.0% | 53.1% |
| Current rank | Maegashira #2 | Maegashira #3 |
| Active period | 2021-03 〜 2026-07 | 2016-03 〜 2026-07 |
Rating history (overlay)
Bout details (11)
| Basho | Day | Predicted | 豪ノ山 | vs | 平戸海 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022-07 | 9 | 66% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2024-03 | 7 | 61% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2024-05 | 12 | 60% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2024-07 | 12 | 57% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2025-01 | 4 | 55% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2025-05 | 9 | 54% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2025-07 | 8 | 52% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2025-09 | 1 | 52% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2026-01 | 8 | 49% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2026-05 | 4 | 48% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2026-07 | 15 | 49% | ○ | vs | ● |
Predicted = expected score at the start of that tournament (causal). Highlighted rows = upsets vs prediction.