HEAD-TO-HEAD
Head-to-Head Comparison
Career Head-to-Head
All career bouts, including juryo and below (broadcast tallies usually count makuuchi only).
Rating-based Forecast
Expected win rate (latest)
42.3%
豪ノ山 (R=1736)
vs
57.7%
美ノ海 (R=1791)
Glicko-2 expected score (opponent RD taken into account)
Forecast accuracy (6 bouts)
| Predicted win rate (豪ノ山) | 55.9% |
| Actual win rate | 33.3% |
| Delta | -22.6pt |
Positive = 豪ノ山 wins above rating expectation; negative = below.
Career Comparison
| Item | 豪ノ山 | 美ノ海 |
|---|---|---|
| Peak rating | 1765 (2025-03) | 1791 (2026-09) |
| Career bouts | 446 | 764 |
| Wins | 235 | 391 |
| Losses | 201 | 368 |
| Win rate | 54.5% | 51.6% |
| Current rank | Maegashira #5 | Komusubi |
| Active period | 2021-03 〜 2026-09 | 2016-03 〜 2026-09 |
Rating history (overlay)
Bout details (6)
| Basho | Day | Predicted | 豪ノ山 | vs | 美ノ海 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022-07 | 7 | 57% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2024-09 | 2 | 58% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2025-07 | 11 | 66% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2026-01 | 10 | 48% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2026-05 | 14 | 54% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2026-07 | 8 | 53% | ● | vs | ○ |
Predicted = expected score at the start of that tournament (causal). Highlighted rows = upsets vs prediction.