HEAD-TO-HEAD
Head-to-Head Comparison
Career Head-to-Head
All career bouts, including juryo and below (broadcast tallies usually count makuuchi only).
Rating-based Forecast
Expected win rate (latest)
45.6%
豪ノ山 (R=1430)
vs
54.4%
王鵬 (R=1461)
Glicko-2 expected score (opponent RD taken into account)
Forecast accuracy (7 bouts)
| Predicted win rate (豪ノ山) | 51.6% |
| Actual win rate | 71.4% |
| Delta | 19.9pt |
Positive = 豪ノ山 wins above rating expectation; negative = below.
Career Comparison
| Item | 豪ノ山 | 王鵬 |
|---|---|---|
| Peak rating | 1454 (2025-03) | 1470 (2025-11) |
| Career bouts | 428 | 614 |
| Wins | 227 | 325 |
| Losses | 190 | 283 |
| Win rate | 55.1% | 53.7% |
| Current rank | Maegashira #2 | Komusubi |
| Active period | 2021-03 〜 2026-07 | 2018-01 〜 2026-07 |
Rating history (overlay)
Bout details (7)
| Basho | Day | Predicted | 豪ノ山 | vs | 王鵬 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023-09 | 7 | 58% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2024-05 | 11 | 59% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2025-03 | 7 | 51% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2025-05 | 10 | 52% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2025-07 | 14 | 49% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2026-05 | 2 | 46% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2026-07 | 7 | 46% | ○ | vs | ● |
Predicted = expected score at the start of that tournament (causal). Highlighted rows = upsets vs prediction.