HEAD-TO-HEAD
Head-to-Head Comparison
Career Head-to-Head
All career bouts, including juryo and below (broadcast tallies usually count makuuchi only).
Rating-based Forecast
Expected win rate (latest)
59.0%
豪ノ山 (R=1736)
vs
41.0%
王鵬 (R=1671)
Glicko-2 expected score (opponent RD taken into account)
Forecast accuracy (7 bouts)
| Predicted win rate (豪ノ山) | 47.9% |
| Actual win rate | 71.4% |
| Delta | 23.6pt |
Positive = 豪ノ山 wins above rating expectation; negative = below.
Career Comparison
| Item | 豪ノ山 | 王鵬 |
|---|---|---|
| Peak rating | 1765 (2025-03) | 1830 (2025-01) |
| Career bouts | 446 | 632 |
| Wins | 235 | 333 |
| Losses | 201 | 294 |
| Win rate | 54.5% | 53.3% |
| Current rank | Maegashira #5 | Maegashira #10 |
| Active period | 2021-03 〜 2026-09 | 2018-01 〜 2026-09 |
Rating history (overlay)
Bout details (7)
| Basho | Day | Predicted | 豪ノ山 | vs | 王鵬 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023-09 | 7 | 62% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2024-05 | 11 | 59% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2025-03 | 7 | 41% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2025-05 | 10 | 47% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2025-07 | 14 | 41% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2026-05 | 2 | 43% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2026-07 | 7 | 42% | ○ | vs | ● |
Predicted = expected score at the start of that tournament (causal). Highlighted rows = upsets vs prediction.