HEAD-TO-HEAD
Head-to-Head Comparison
Career Head-to-Head
All career bouts, including juryo and below (broadcast tallies usually count makuuchi only).
Rating-based Forecast
Expected win rate (latest)
37.4%
朝氣龍 (R=1106)
vs
62.6%
天照馬 (R=1197)
Glicko-2 expected score (opponent RD taken into account)
Forecast accuracy (2 bouts)
| Predicted win rate (朝氣龍) | 30.1% |
| Actual win rate | 50.0% |
| Delta | 19.9pt |
Positive = 朝氣龍 wins above rating expectation; negative = below.
Career Comparison
| Item | 朝氣龍 | 天照馬 |
|---|---|---|
| Peak rating | 1338 (2021-07) | 1231 (2024-11) |
| Career bouts | 216 | 339 |
| Wins | 112 | 168 |
| Losses | 103 | 141 |
| Win rate | 52.3% | 54.3% |
| Current rank | Sandanme #70 | Sandanme #3 |
| Active period | 2021-05 〜 2026-09 | 2018-03 〜 2026-09 |
Rating history (overlay)
Bout details (2)
| Basho | Day | Predicted | 朝氣龍 | vs | 天照馬 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-01 | 3 | 28% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2024-03 | 5 | 32% | ● | vs | ○ |
Predicted = expected score at the start of that tournament (causal). Highlighted rows = upsets vs prediction.