HEAD-TO-HEAD
Head-to-Head Comparison
Career Head-to-Head
All career bouts, including juryo and below (broadcast tallies usually count makuuchi only).
Rating-based Forecast
Expected win rate (latest)
62.6%
朝氣龍 (R=1106)
vs
37.4%
千代大和 (R=1015)
Glicko-2 expected score (opponent RD taken into account)
Forecast accuracy (3 bouts)
| Predicted win rate (朝氣龍) | 64.2% |
| Actual win rate | 33.3% |
| Delta | -30.9pt |
Positive = 朝氣龍 wins above rating expectation; negative = below.
Career Comparison
| Item | 朝氣龍 | 千代大和 |
|---|---|---|
| Peak rating | 1338 (2021-07) | 1098 (2025-07) |
| Career bouts | 233 | 263 |
| Wins | 119 | 126 |
| Losses | 113 | 130 |
| Win rate | 51.5% | 49.2% |
| Current rank | Sandanme #70 | Sandanme #70 |
| Active period | 2021-05 〜 2026-09 | 2020-09 〜 2026-09 |
Rating history (overlay)
Bout details (3)
| Basho | Day | Predicted | 朝氣龍 | vs | 千代大和 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021-11 | 9 | 79% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2024-01 | 8 | 51% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2026-11 | 2 | 63% | ○ | vs | ● |
Predicted = expected score at the start of that tournament (causal). Highlighted rows = upsets vs prediction.