HEAD-TO-HEAD
Head-to-Head Comparison
Career Head-to-Head
All career bouts, including juryo and below (broadcast tallies usually count makuuchi only).
Rating-based Forecast
Expected win rate (latest)
59.8%
朝氣龍 (R=1106)
vs
40.2%
恵比寿丸 (R=1035)
Glicko-2 expected score (opponent RD taken into account)
Forecast accuracy (2 bouts)
| Predicted win rate (朝氣龍) | 55.9% |
| Actual win rate | 100.0% |
| Delta | 44.1pt |
Positive = 朝氣龍 wins above rating expectation; negative = below.
Career Comparison
| Item | 朝氣龍 | 恵比寿丸 |
|---|---|---|
| Peak rating | 1338 (2021-07) | 1122 (2024-01) |
| Career bouts | 216 | 796 |
| Wins | 112 | 381 |
| Losses | 103 | 414 |
| Win rate | 52.3% | 47.9% |
| Current rank | Sandanme #44 | Sandanme #44 |
| Active period | 2021-05 〜 2026-09 | 2007-03 〜 2026-09 |
Rating history (overlay)
Bout details (2)
| Basho | Day | Predicted | 朝氣龍 | vs | 恵比寿丸 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-09 | 6 | 47% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2026-05 | 3 | 65% | ○ | vs | ● |
Predicted = expected score at the start of that tournament (causal). Highlighted rows = upsets vs prediction.