HEAD-TO-HEAD

Head-to-Head Comparison

阿

Left

阿龍

Sandanme #17 ・ Nakamura Stable

Change
天

Right

天照馬

Sandanme #14 ・ Arashio Stable

Change
阿
阿龍
Sandanme #17
52%
win prob (latest)
VS
天
天照馬
Sandanme #14
48%
win prob (latest)

Career Head-to-Head

All career bouts, including juryo and below (broadcast tallies usually count makuuchi only).

1
阿龍 wins
1 bouts
0

Rating-based Forecast

Expected win rate (latest)

51.7%
阿龍 (R=1209)
vs
48.3%
天照馬 (R=1197)

Glicko-2 expected score (opponent RD taken into account)

Forecast accuracy (1 bouts)

Predicted win rate (阿龍)39.8%
Actual win rate100.0%
Delta60.2pt

Positive = 阿龍 wins above rating expectation; negative = below.

Career Comparison

Item阿龍天照馬
Peak rating1231 (2026-07)1231 (2024-11)
Career bouts217339
Wins106168
Losses84141
Win rate55.5%54.3%
Current rankSandanme #17Sandanme #14
Active period2021-05 〜 2026-092018-03 〜 2026-09

Rating history (overlay)

Bout details (1)

BashoDayPredicted阿龍vs天照馬
2024-11240%○vs●

Predicted = expected score at the start of that tournament (causal). Highlighted rows = upsets vs prediction.