HEAD-TO-HEAD
Head-to-Head Comparison
Career Head-to-Head
All career bouts, including juryo and below (broadcast tallies usually count makuuchi only).
Rating-based Forecast
Expected win rate (latest)
62.4%
瑞天龍 (R=1061)
vs
37.6%
砂坂 (R=971)
Glicko-2 expected score (opponent RD taken into account)
Forecast accuracy (1 bouts)
| Predicted win rate (瑞天龍) | 48.1% |
| Actual win rate | 100.0% |
| Delta | 51.9pt |
Positive = 瑞天龍 wins above rating expectation; negative = below.
Career Comparison
| Item | 瑞天龍 | 砂坂 |
|---|---|---|
| Peak rating | 1256 (2021-05) | 1230 (2025-03) |
| Career bouts | 217 | 56 |
| Wins | 109 | 31 |
| Losses | 98 | 25 |
| Win rate | 53.3% | 55.4% |
| Current rank | Sandanme #67 | Jonidan #4 |
| Active period | 2021-05 〜 2026-07 | 2025-03 〜 2026-09 |
Rating history (overlay)
Bout details (1)
| Basho | Day | Predicted | 瑞天龍 | vs | 砂坂 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11 | 7 | 48% | ○ | vs | ● |
Predicted = expected score at the start of that tournament (causal). Highlighted rows = upsets vs prediction.