HEAD-TO-HEAD
Head-to-Head Comparison
Career Head-to-Head
All career bouts, including juryo and below (broadcast tallies usually count makuuchi only).
Rating-based Forecast
Expected win rate (latest)
49.7%
蒼乃駿 (R=623)
vs
50.3%
若一輝 (R=625)
Glicko-2 expected score (opponent RD taken into account)
Forecast accuracy (2 bouts)
| Predicted win rate (蒼乃駿) | 40.8% |
| Actual win rate | 0.0% |
| Delta | -40.8pt |
Positive = 蒼乃駿 wins above rating expectation; negative = below.
Career Comparison
| Item | 蒼乃駿 | 若一輝 |
|---|---|---|
| Peak rating | 1144 (2021-05) | 779 (2014-03) |
| Career bouts | 235 | 525 |
| Wins | 90 | 194 |
| Losses | 123 | 296 |
| Win rate | 42.6% | 39.5% |
| Current rank | Jonidan #96 | Jonidan #97 |
| Active period | 2021-05 〜 2026-09 | 2014-03 〜 2026-09 |
Rating history (overlay)
Bout details (2)
| Basho | Day | Predicted | 蒼乃駿 | vs | 若一輝 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-09 | 11 | 32% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2026-11 | 4 | 50% | ● | vs | ○ |
Predicted = expected score at the start of that tournament (causal). Highlighted rows = upsets vs prediction.