HEAD-TO-HEAD
Head-to-Head Comparison
Career Head-to-Head
All career bouts, including juryo and below (broadcast tallies usually count makuuchi only).
Rating-based Forecast
Expected win rate (latest)
67.5%
朝紅龍 (R=1681)
vs
32.5%
千代翔馬 (R=1551)
Glicko-2 expected score (opponent RD taken into account)
Forecast accuracy (11 bouts)
| Predicted win rate (朝紅龍) | 50.1% |
| Actual win rate | 72.7% |
| Delta | 22.6pt |
Positive = 朝紅龍 wins above rating expectation; negative = below.
Career Comparison
| Item | 朝紅龍 | 千代翔馬 |
|---|---|---|
| Peak rating | 1681 (2026-09) | 1714 (2025-01) |
| Career bouts | 383 | 1,222 |
| Wins | 207 | 601 |
| Losses | 163 | 599 |
| Win rate | 55.9% | 50.1% |
| Current rank | Maegashira #9 | Juryo #1 |
| Active period | 2021-05 〜 2026-09 | 2009-07 〜 2026-09 |
Rating history (overlay)
Bout details (11)
| Basho | Day | Predicted | 朝紅龍 | vs | 千代翔馬 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023-11 | 12 | 50% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2024-03 | 4 | 53% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2024-05 | 2 | 54% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2024-09 | 14 | 38% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2024-11 | 9 | 44% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2025-07 | 14 | 46% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2025-11 | 3 | 52% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2026-01 | 11 | 46% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2026-05 | 3 | 52% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2026-07 | 11 | 55% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2026-09 | 8 | 62% | ○ | vs | ● |
Predicted = expected score at the start of that tournament (causal). Highlighted rows = upsets vs prediction.