HEAD-TO-HEAD
Head-to-Head Comparison
Career Head-to-Head
All career bouts, including juryo and below (broadcast tallies usually count makuuchi only).
Rating-based Forecast
Expected win rate (latest)
50.8%
朝紅龍 (R=1386)
vs
49.2%
千代翔馬 (R=1381)
Glicko-2 expected score (opponent RD taken into account)
Forecast accuracy (10 bouts)
| Predicted win rate (朝紅龍) | 47.8% |
| Actual win rate | 70.0% |
| Delta | 22.2pt |
Positive = 朝紅龍 wins above rating expectation; negative = below.
Career Comparison
| Item | 朝紅龍 | 千代翔馬 |
|---|---|---|
| Peak rating | 1559 (2021-07) | 1411 (2025-03) |
| Career bouts | 365 | 1,204 |
| Wins | 195 | 594 |
| Losses | 156 | 587 |
| Win rate | 55.5% | 50.3% |
| Current rank | Maegashira #16 | Maegashira #10 |
| Active period | 2021-05 〜 2026-07 | 2009-07 〜 2026-07 |
Rating history (overlay)
Bout details (10)
| Basho | Day | Predicted | 朝紅龍 | vs | 千代翔馬 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023-11 | 12 | 47% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2024-03 | 4 | 50% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2024-05 | 2 | 50% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2024-09 | 14 | 45% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2024-11 | 9 | 47% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2025-07 | 14 | 46% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2025-11 | 3 | 48% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2026-01 | 11 | 47% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2026-05 | 3 | 49% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2026-07 | 11 | 50% | ○ | vs | ● |
Predicted = expected score at the start of that tournament (causal). Highlighted rows = upsets vs prediction.