HEAD-TO-HEAD
Head-to-Head Comparison
Career Head-to-Head
All career bouts, including juryo and below (broadcast tallies usually count makuuchi only).
Rating-based Forecast
Expected win rate (latest)
41.8%
朝紅龍 (R=1386)
vs
58.2%
阿炎 (R=1444)
Glicko-2 expected score (opponent RD taken into account)
Forecast accuracy (2 bouts)
| Predicted win rate (朝紅龍) | 37.8% |
| Actual win rate | 50.0% |
| Delta | 12.2pt |
Positive = 朝紅龍 wins above rating expectation; negative = below.
Career Comparison
| Item | 朝紅龍 | 阿炎 |
|---|---|---|
| Peak rating | 1559 (2021-07) | 1525 (2022-11) |
| Career bouts | 365 | 982 |
| Wins | 195 | 508 |
| Losses | 156 | 401 |
| Win rate | 55.5% | 56.1% |
| Current rank | Maegashira #16 | Maegashira #12 |
| Active period | 2021-05 〜 2026-07 | 2013-05 〜 2026-07 |
Rating history (overlay)
Bout details (3)
| Basho | Day | Predicted | 朝紅龍 | vs | 阿炎 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01 | 6 | 37% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2026-05 | 2 | 39% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2026-07 | 12 | 42% | — | vs | — |
Predicted = expected score at the start of that tournament (causal). Highlighted rows = upsets vs prediction.