HEAD-TO-HEAD
Head-to-Head Comparison
Career Head-to-Head
All career bouts, including juryo and below (broadcast tallies usually count makuuchi only).
Rating-based Forecast
Expected win rate (latest)
56.2%
朝紅龍 (R=1681)
vs
43.8%
阿炎 (R=1637)
Glicko-2 expected score (opponent RD taken into account)
Forecast accuracy (4 bouts)
| Predicted win rate (朝紅龍) | 48.4% |
| Actual win rate | 75.0% |
| Delta | 26.6pt |
Positive = 朝紅龍 wins above rating expectation; negative = below.
Career Comparison
| Item | 朝紅龍 | 阿炎 |
|---|---|---|
| Peak rating | 1681 (2026-09) | 1842 (2022-01) |
| Career bouts | 383 | 1,000 |
| Wins | 207 | 518 |
| Losses | 163 | 410 |
| Win rate | 55.9% | 56.1% |
| Current rank | Maegashira #13 | Maegashira #13 |
| Active period | 2021-05 〜 2026-09 | 2013-05 〜 2026-09 |
Rating history (overlay)
Bout details (4)
| Basho | Day | Predicted | 朝紅龍 | vs | 阿炎 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01 | 6 | 41% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2026-05 | 2 | 46% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2026-07 | 12 | 52% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2026-09 | 2 | 55% | ○ | vs | ● |
Predicted = expected score at the start of that tournament (causal). Highlighted rows = upsets vs prediction.